Over
the years, I have maintained the opinion that the Nigerian state is sitting
precariously on the tripod of religion, ethnicity and region. We need to
restructure the state’s instruments and our minds because this trip will fail
us soon. Several scholars agree about this.
Yusufu Turaki, a Professor of Social Ethics who has
devoted his time to the study of the Nigerian political legacy from the
colonial era, through the military era and to the civilian era concluded that “The British
founded Nigerian politics upon three major pillars, which have become Nigeria’s
political Goliaths. These three Goliaths are Ethnicity/Tribalism,
Regionalism/Sectionalism and Religious Bigotry.” He added that as a result of
these faulty triune foundations, Nigeria suffers from the political problem of “Leadership-Followership
cum Ethnic-Regional-Religious Syndrome.” (Yusufu Turaki, Elections And The Middlebelt/Northern Minorities, March 2015).
Ademoyo
of the Africana Studies and Research Center, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY,
reviewed President Buhari’s appointments and concluded that Buhari’s
understanding of moral rectitude is pivoted on the three fulcrums of ethnicity,
regionalism and religion, which has resulted in backwardness (Buhari’s
Croynism and Irredentism: Why Nigeria Remains Backward, Adeolu Ademoyo,
Premium Times, September 13, 2015). A tripod, as we all know, is three-legged
and, therefore, it is an unstable structure. It can topple over easily. One
of these three legs is religion and the Nigerian northern Christian is somewhere
at the weakest point of this religious leg.
Prof.
Farooq Kperogi, in his March 5, 2020 article titled, Tinubu, Dogara and the Prison and Poison of Religious Politics, opined
that the two most disadvantaged groups of people in Nigerian politics are Northern
Christians and Southern Muslims. He also said that these two groups are
“structurally invisible, politically subjugated, and told to be content with
their political and symbolic marginality.” His submission aptly describes the
plight of the northern Christian – not recognized in governmental structures,
not considered politically valuable and told to shut up.
Dr.
Karl Kumm, a German Missionary and founder of the now
flourishing Church of Christ in Nigeria (COCIN),
recommended to Lord Lugard the carving out of a “Middle area” way back in 1911
when he saw the level of marginalization of the northern Christian.
Due to numerous complaints of marginalization in
appointments and siting of developmental projects by both southern and northern
minorities (northern minorities were Christians and traditionalists), the
British colonial administration decided in 1957 to look into the matter by setting
up the Willinks Minorities Commission. One of the Commission’s recommendations was
the inclusion of a Bill of Rights in the 1960 Independence Constitution. These
rights can today be found in Chapter IV, Fundamental Rights, of the 1999
Constitution of the Federal Republic of Nigeria. While the problems of southern
minorities were addressed through the creation of the Mid-West Region in 1963,
the problems of northern minorities (Christians and traditionalists) have
persisted. Northern Muslims in the Northern House of Assembly blocked the
Motion for the creation of a Middle Belt Region out of the old Northern Region.
The United Middle Belt Congress (UMBC), a political
party during the First Republic, fought for equal rights for northern minorities,
especially Christians. Lord Lugard’s policy of Indirect Rule had uncannily
placed people under Muslim Emirs who were not defeated in the 18th
Century Fodio jihads. The Middle Belt Movement sprang up as a Special Purpose Vehicle
(SPV) created out of frustration and the necessity to put pressure on
government and politicians to ensure all citizens are equals irrespective of
religion or tribe.
A northern Christian has never been elected
President or Vice President. His highest appointment has been Secretary to the
Government of the Federation (SGF) and Senate President and Speaker of the House
of Representatives, who are merely glorified leaders among equally elected
legislators. Genocide, ethnic cleansing and land-grabbing are ongoing phenomena
from Independence to date, mainly in Zuruland of Kebbi State, the Southern half
of Kaduna State, and many Christian parts of Nasarawa, Plateau, Benue, Taraba,
Bauchi and Adamawa States. Perpetrators of unprovoked killings, destruction of
farm crops and forceful land occupation are hardly ever arrested let alone prosecuted
by security agencies.
Nigeria’s four-yearly cycle for leadership change
has fallen on this year, 2023, and we are currently halfway through the
elections as we speak. The Presidential and National Assembly elections took
place on 25th February 2023, while those of State Governors and members
of State Houses of Assembly have been scheduled for 18th March 2023
following a one-week postponement.
Halfway through the elections, the northern Nigerian
Christian is already wondering what could be in store for him over the next
four years. Will his perpetual relegation to an inferior and inconsequential
status continue or will it be corrected?
Asiwaju Bola Ahmed Tinubu of the APC has been
declared the winner of the presidential election by the election umpire, INEC. With
Tinubu’s same-faith ticket (President and Vice-President both Muslims), the
northern Christian is already asking many pertinent questions: Will Tinubu’s
government be favorably disposed towards northern Christians in the sharing of
top political offices and dividends of democracy? Having been considered not
good enough for the position of Vice President by him but only good enough to
be the Director-General of his campaign, will the northern Christian voice be
heard in Tinubu’s administration? What should the northern Christian now do to guarantee
his relevance and proper status in the political future of Nigeria? What should
the northern
Christians do now?
Prof.
Farooq Kperogi made several predictions in another article published in the
Tribune Newspaper on September 21, 2019 and titled, Why Bola Tinubu Can Never Be Nigeria’s President. Some of these predictions
have come to pass while others have not. He boldly predicted
that Tinubu can never become the President of Nigeria and proffered reasons to
buttress his assertion. Today, Tinubu has been declared the winner of the 25th
February 2023 presidential election, although several political parties are presently
challenging that declaration in court.
In the same article, Kperogi said if, in the
unlikely event that Tinubu clinches the nomination of
the APC, he would be well-advised to pick a northern Christian as running mate to
“balance” his ticket. Tinubu picked a northern Muslim as his running mate, yet
he has been declared the winner. Is it true then that the northern Christian is
not an essential balancing factor in the Nigerian political equation?
Be that as it may, Tinubu’s
same-faith ticket has catalyzed the fusion of northern Christians, their
southern counterparts and a motley assemblage of youth across the country in a
new and unforeseen political movement who have christened themselves the
‘Obidients’ after Mr. Peter Obi. For the northern Christian, the push has certainly come to shove. He has decided to take his
destiny into his hands. In direct response to Tinubu’s preference for a fellow
Muslim as his running mate, many northern Christians left his party, the APC,
including prominent ones like Engnr. Babachir Lawan, one-time SGF, Rt. Hon.
Yakubu Dogara, one-time Speaker of the Federal House of Representatives and
Barr. Daniel Bwala.
Again, Kperogi said in the same article of September
21, 2022, that if Tinubu picked a northern Muslim running
mate, he would be alienating Igbos, Southern ethnic minorities, and Northern
Christians from his camp. Kperogi has been proved right. Tinubu’s
choice of a fellow Muslim as running mate has unwittingly brought northern
Christians into a structure less ‘Obidient’ political alliance with southern
minorities and youth of all shades as evidenced by the huge number of votes garnered
by Peter Obi’s Labour Party in many States including Lagos, Rivers, Edo, Delta,
Nasarawa, Taraba, Benue, Plateau, Kaduna and all the South-eastern States. The
birth of the ‘Obidients’ is a much-welcomed revolution to the Nigerian
political landscape, especially for northern Christians.
The purpose of this
disquisition is to urge whoever becomes the next President of Nigeria, whether Bola
Tinubu, Peter Obi, Atiku Abubakar, Rabiu Kwankwaso, or whosoever, not to make
the mistake of underestimating the political relevance of northern Christians,
but to ensure that they are duly recognized and represented in his or her
government. Kperogi’s words in his September 2022 article appropriately
describe my heart’s desire and so I will borrow them to conclude: “There is no justification for any
demographic group in the country to be condemned to marginality in perpetuity,
to be permanently locked out of the highest office in the land because of the
accidents of the faiths they’re born into or that they choose to practice.”
